European cancer mortality predictions for the year 2025

Analysis of World Health Organization and United Nations databases allowed prediction of cancer mortality in the European Union and the United Kingdom for the year 2025. The authors estimated 1,280,000 cancer deaths in the EU in 2025, corresponding to age-standardized rates of 120,9/100.000 males (-3.5% versus 2020) and 79.1/100,000 females (-1.2%), and 173.000 cancer deaths in the UK with ASRs of 101.2/100,000 males (-10,1%) and 82.1/100,000 females (-6.3%). In the EU, favorable trends are predicted for major neoplasms, except pancratic cancer in males (+2.0%) and females (+3.0%), and bladder cancer (+1.9%) and lung cancer (+3.8%) in females. Breast cancer showed favorable trends in all countries. The authors estimated about 6.8 million averted cancer deaths between 1989 and 2025 in the EU and 1.5 million averted cancer deaths in the UK.